0:00
/
Generate transcript
A transcript unlocks clips, previews, and editing.

Income In Any Market

Inside the delta-neutral options tactic built to profit regardless of market direction

In Proud partnership with The Solstice Laboratory — the physics of markets, quantified. Read The Entropy Trap to discover what physics knows the economics doesn’t.

Why an income book has to behave differently from an investment book.

Can I lock in an acceptable annualized return and reduce my downside risk by 65-99%?

Read on you splendid thing!

Most options content sold to retail is really directional in disguise: selling puts or basic covered call writing is still essentially going long except the upside is capped. Effectively the way most options pundits purport to use tactics which don’t really reduce one’s risk but do cap their upside reward - in other words the opposite of the goal!

An income book has a different job. It has to produce cash flows and profits regardless of what the underlying markets decide to do in the meantime. That reframes the entire objective: the goal isn’t to be right about stock price direction. It’s to be paid for time and volatility while staying as indifferent as possible towards an assets price movement.

This piece examines: can a systematic options structure produce a real, competitive annual return while keeping price exposure (delta) near zero? Here I explain with real numbers on a real name — Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM).

Spoiler — the answer is yes, but requires an asterisk.

Options in three sentences, if you’ve never touched one

A call option gives someone the right to buy your stock at a set price (the “strike”) by a set date. If you sell a call against stock you own, you get paid up front (the “premium”) in exchange for capping your upside at that strike — you’re renting out your shares’ future gains. Everything below is just different ways of tuning how much you rent out, and managing overall exposure.


Why delta is the whole game

Delta measures how much a position moves per dollar the stock moves. 100 shares of stock is 100 deltas; that’s full participation, up and down. In an investment portfolio that’s fine. An income machine is a little different. I don’t want a down month in stocks to also be a bad month for my grocery budget. So the mandate becomes: collect premium, but manage the structure so directional risk stays small relative to the capital deployed.

The base case: a deep-ITM covered buy-write

Take AEM, not a suggestion, just a random example for argument’s sake, trading at $137.76. Buy 100 shares (delta now 100), sell the 65 delta, a deep-in-the-money call (Jan 2028, $135 strike) against it for $33.55. That lowers the overall delta, or stock exposure to 35.

Delta can be observed for various strike on options chains on any brokerage that offers options. The more in the money the option, the higher the delta and vice versa.

What does that do for me as a trader?

  • Net cost drops to $104.21/share — a 24.4% cushion before you’re underwater

  • Max profit is capped at $3,079 if the stock is called away, roughly 19.5% annualized

  • Net delta falls from 100 to about +35 — a 65% cut in directional exposure, just from selling one call

Bottom axis - stock price. Gold line tracks PL on the overall position in concert with price movements in the underlying. Here the stock price can fall 24.4% before the position loses money vs only holding the stock which would be down slightly more than that.

Upon entry, a 29.5% profit margin is secured while the initial working capital is protected. Less directional risk than owning the stock by itself, real income, real cushion. But let’s explore further possibilities.

Turning the dial further: the ratio write

Let’s assume I wish to reduce my overall exposure from 35 above to 0 — or close enough. Here’s how I might do it; Go further out of the money and sell two 49-delta calls against the same 100 shares instead of one 65 delta call. Here something interesting happens to the delta math:

  • Long 100 shares (+100 delta) and short 2 x ~50 delta calls at the $170 strike for the same expiration date. Now my delta nets out to +0.94 — essentially flat

  • Downside cushion widens to 31.8% (breakeven $93.45, vs $104.21 on the single-call version)

  • Max profit more than doubles to $7,654 — ~54% annualized

The asterisk: One contract in that 2:1 ratio stays covered by the shares. The other doesn’t. Past $170, that second call is naked — the position caps out and starts losing money again above $246.55, with no ceiling on the loss. Near-zero delta today isn’t the same as staying near-zero over time: the “hedge” only holds inside a range.

Comparison

This is the trade-off in plain terms: more premium and a wider buffer, but more management is required as now the position is not fully covered and the trade will need to be monitored and adjusted to remain delta neutral to follow the price movements over time.


Circling back

If a structure like this could realistically produce annualized returns in the high-teens (the mid 50% shown in the example would be preposterous to use as a base case for underwriting), while keeping delta near flat, the next question naturally is; how much capital does that actually take to replace an income?

Answered by simple arithmetic: Assume $45,000/year in expenses — a reasonable audited baseline for a modest, geographically flexible lifestyle. Here’s the capital required at a range of assumed yields, including the two we just walked through:

For illustrative purposes only.

The honest version of this exercise isn’t “learn to do this and quit your day job”. It’s to gain awareness from exploring what’s possible and testable.


The Take Away - What’s The Point?

None of this is really about AEM. It’s about building an income source that doesn’t care where I am, doesn’t need a boss, doesn’t need employees, and doesn’t even need clients (at least none with whom I have to deal with directly). No physical inventory, no storefront, no team to manage, no fixed hours. The whole engine runs from a laptop and a brokerage account. For me, it’s been run in Mendoza, in Melbourne to Milan (to pchoose the M’s)

That’s really the product IMO: a business with none of the usual anchors. Cash flow that crosses borders alongside me, built on discipline instead of headcount.

If that’s the kind of independence you’re building toward, subscribe free — every week I break down one real structure like this, mechanics fully shown, so you can see exactly how the engine works, not just take my word for it.

Members get: Trades, Guidance, Performance updates and much more.

One for the comments: How interest are you in learning more about these types of systems?

Adjusting the deltas while waiting on my return flight from the Bahamas, 2025. Kalik is the local beer brand.

All the best.

Benjamin


Machina Capitalis machinacapitalis.com · @TheRoyaltyKing

Educational illustration only, not investment advice. Options involve risk, including the potential for unlimited loss on naked short calls. Past structures and hypothetical returns are not guarantees of future results. Consult a licensed advisor before implementing any options strategy.Educational and informational content only. Nothing in this piece constitutes investment, legal, tax, or financial advice, nor a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any security, option, or other instrument. No advisor-client, fiduciary, or professional relationship is created by reading, subscribing to, or interacting with this newsletter.
The examples shown (including AEM) are illustrative and, where marked as such, hypothetical or theoretical — they do not represent actual trades, recommendations, or a real-time portfolio, and any resemblance to positions the author may hold is coincidental to the teaching example, not a disclosure of current holdings. The author may hold, have held, or later take positions in securities or instruments discussed here; this is a potential conflict of interest and should be weighed accordingly.
Options trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for every investor. Strategies described — including covered calls and ratio writes — can result in losses up to and including the total capital deployed, and structures involving uncovered (”naked”) short options carry the potential for losses that are substantial and, in some cases, theoretically unlimited. Annualized return figures are simple projections based on stated assumptions at a point in time; they are not historical performance, are not audited, and are not guarantees or predictions of future results. Past or hypothetical performance is never a reliable indicator of future performance.
Market data, pricing, and Greeks referenced were sourced from third-party platforms believed reliable at the time of writing but not independently verified, and may be inaccurate, delayed, or since changed. Every reader’s financial situation, risk tolerance, tax position, and goals differ; nothing here should be applied to your own decisions without independent judgment and, where appropriate, consultation with a licensed financial advisor, broker, or tax professional in your jurisdiction. This content is not directed at, and should not be relied upon by, residents of any jurisdiction where its distribution would be contrary to local law or regulation.
The author and Machina Capitalis disclaim all liability for any loss or damage arising, directly or indirectly, from reliance on this content. By reading further or acting on anything here, you accept that you do so entirely at your own risk.

Discussion about this video

User's avatar

Ready for more?